Statistics Profile

Samuel Jiang

2011

Queens Fencing Club LLC

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	1253	508 - 1997	1253	1253
Foil	Direct elimination	2274	972 - 3575	2274	2274
Saber	Pool	1503	1233 - 1772	1423	1974
Saber	Direct elimination	1663	1190 - 2135	1329	2059

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.