Statistics Profile

Meredith Lau

2008

Blade Runner Fencing

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1174	859 - 1488	1140	1526
Épée	Direct elimination	1820	1293 - 2346	1820	1945
Foil	Pool	1949	1406 - 2491	1949	1949
Foil	Direct elimination	2239	1324 - 3153	2239	2239

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.