Statistics Profile

Kira Johnston

1984

Tidewater Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	814	484 - 1143	814	1311
Épée	Direct elimination	1339	698 - 1979	1339	1906
Foil	Pool	988	673 - 1302	930	1054
Foil	Direct elimination	881	94 - 1667	881	1790

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.