Statistics Profile

Kasey Crumbliss

1989

Orlando Fencing Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2195	1455 - 2934	2195	2195
Foil	Pool	1983	1652 - 2313	1864	2080
Foil	Direct elimination	2583	2180 - 2985	2101	2691
Saber	Pool	1265	730 - 1799	1265	1265
Saber	Direct elimination	2165	1082 - 3247	2165	2165

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.