Statistics Profile

Jie Zhang

1975

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2341	1521 - 3160	2341	2341
Épée	Direct elimination	3335	2509 - 4160	3335	3335
Foil	Pool	2532	2146 - 2917	2434	3084
Foil	Direct elimination	3002	2404 - 3599	3002	3382

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.