Statistics Profile

Alex Dunn

2010

Stoccata Fencing Academy & Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	559	138 - 979	559	1062
Épée	Direct elimination	1209	464 - 1953	1209	1631
Foil	Pool	638	0 - 1313	638	638
Foil	Direct elimination	1226	56 - 2395	1226	1226

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.