Statistics Profile

Peter Wetzel

1993

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	3177	2536 - 3817	3140	3177
Épée	Direct elimination	2929	2381 - 3476	2832	2929
Foil	Pool	2445	1753 - 3136	2445	2445
Foil	Direct elimination	2300	1332 - 3267	2300	2300
Saber	Pool	1613	1057 - 2168	1613	1613
Saber	Direct elimination	2599	1796 - 3401	2599	2599

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.