Statistics Profile

Arjun Pogde

2013

The Fencing Center

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	416	0 - 1071	416	882
Épée	Direct elimination	1568	365 - 2770	1568	1568
Foil	Pool	974	361 - 1586	833	974
Foil	Direct elimination	1280	399 - 2160	1280	1777

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.