Statistics Profile

Mark Chukwu

2009

Allez Fencing

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	695	336 - 1053	588	878
Épée	Direct elimination	905	33 - 1776	905	1478
Saber	Pool	767	0 - 1566	767	767
Saber	Direct elimination	1643	461 - 2824	1643	1643

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.