Statistics Profile

Jaden Gilliard

2006

Cleveland State Univ. NCAA Allegro Fencing Center

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	1767	817 - 2716	1767	1767
Foil	Direct elimination	2079	640 - 3517	2079	2079
Saber	Pool	1084	316 - 1851	1084	1199
Saber	Direct elimination	1987	708 - 3265	1987	1987

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.