Statistics Profile

Connor Murphy-Mims

2013

Royal Fencing Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	585	224 - 945	287	585
Épée	Direct elimination	1081	445 - 1716	1081	1948
Foil	Pool	49	0 - 435	49	534
Foil	Direct elimination	935	212 - 1657	935	1686

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.