Statistics Profile

Jeremiah PAVEL

1981

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1525	755 - 2294	1525	1525
Épée	Direct elimination	1815	481 - 3148	1815	1815
Saber	Pool	944	307 - 1580	944	944
Saber	Direct elimination	1565	399 - 2730	1565	1565

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.