Statistics Profile

Gavin Diamond

2007

University Of Tennessee Knoxville Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	792	246 - 1337	792	1712
Foil	Direct elimination	1638	723 - 2552	1638	2403
Saber	Pool	1720	1404 - 2035	1633	2798
Saber	Direct elimination	1658	1144 - 2171	1512	2115

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.