Statistics Profile

James Haglund

2016

Long Island Fencers Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2869	1801 - 3936	2869	2869
Épée	Direct elimination	3315	2073 - 4556	3315	3315
Saber	Pool	1025	734 - 1315	1016	1627
Saber	Direct elimination	1617	1046 - 2187	1388	2079

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.