Statistics Profile

Liang-Jun Kuo

2014

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Direct elimination	1581	414 - 2747	1581	1581
Foil	Pool	194	0 - 433	96	728
Foil	Direct elimination	1249	829 - 1668	1177	1578

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.