Statistics Profile

Zachary Stellpflug

2009

Youth Enrichment League Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2185	1162 - 3207	2185	2185
Épée	Direct elimination	2001	865 - 3136	2001	2001
Foil	Pool	1374	1198 - 1549	1234	1728
Foil	Direct elimination	1332	1082 - 1581	1184	1559

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.