Statistics Profile

Matthew Demaree

2006

University of Alabama

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1330	1045 - 1614	1183	1338
Épée	Direct elimination	1620	1135 - 2104	1620	1761
Foil	Pool	1709	811 - 2606	1709	1709
Foil	Direct elimination	1694	395 - 2992	1694	1694

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.