Statistics Profile

Luna Lu

2007

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	883	479 - 1286	883	1560
Épée	Direct elimination	1479	727 - 2230	1479	2341
Foil	Pool	879	484 - 1273	879	2410
Foil	Direct elimination	1521	835 - 2206	1521	2496
Saber	Pool	578	0 - 1347	578	578
Saber	Direct elimination	1788	572 - 3003	1788	1788

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.