Statistics Profile

Allison Trudeau

2005

University of Virginia Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	1474	1181 - 1766	784	1523
Foil	Direct elimination	1965	1396 - 2533	1328	1965
Saber	Pool	2837	2121 - 3552	2653	3174
Saber	Direct elimination	2818	1672 - 3963	2818	2921

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.