Statistics Profile

Geoffrey Graves Smith

1975

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	3478	2596 - 4359	3478	3478
Épée	Direct elimination	2269	1160 - 3377	2269	2269
Foil	Pool	1781	1028 - 2533	1781	1781
Foil	Direct elimination	2403	1180 - 3625	2403	2403

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.