Statistics Profile

S. Xavier Poloche

2003

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	978	228 - 1727	978	978
Foil	Direct elimination	1754	473 - 3034	1754	1754
Saber	Pool	1863	822 - 2903	1863	1863
Saber	Direct elimination	1958	669 - 3246	1958	1958

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.