Statistics Profile

Noel Skorheim

2012

Fargo-Moorhead Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	272	0 - 848	272	617
Foil	Direct elimination	956	74 - 1837	956	1623
Saber	Pool	1581	1048 - 2113	1581	1854
Saber	Direct elimination	2252	1212 - 3291	2079	2252

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.