Statistics Profile

Mary Emma Ridley

2006

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	1017	312 - 1721	1017	1306
Foil	Direct elimination	1320	175 - 2464	1320	1320
Saber	Pool	1657	815 - 2498	1657	2224
Saber	Direct elimination	2301	1214 - 3387	2301	2921

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.