Statistics Profile

Shana Dupin

2004

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	2162	1825 - 2498	1788	2216
Foil	Direct elimination	2475	1173 - 3776	2475	2475
Saber	Pool	1895	1270 - 2519	1895	1895
Saber	Direct elimination	1898	650 - 3145	1898	1898

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.