Statistics Profile

Sebastian Enslow

2015

Marx Fencing Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	615	212 - 1017	598	1579
Épée	Direct elimination	993	284 - 1701	861	1405
Foil	Pool	386	157 - 614	113	548
Foil	Direct elimination	1103	703 - 1502	1074	1773

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.