Statistics Profile

Nico Proulx

2010

Bucks County Academy Of Fencing

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	989	770 - 1207	975	2066
Épée	Direct elimination	1340	929 - 1750	1051	1931
Foil	Pool	448	0 - 1207	448	448
Foil	Direct elimination	1281	119 - 2442	1281	1281

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.