Statistics Profile

Evans Horn

1985

Cabrillo Academy Of The Sword LLC

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	975	724 - 1225	954	1167
Épée	Direct elimination	1157	574 - 1739	1157	2321
Foil	Pool	642	348 - 935	404	684
Foil	Direct elimination	1027	488 - 1565	1026	1272

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.