Statistics Profile

Alexander Kratz

1989

Center for Blade Arts

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	1343	534 - 2151	1343	1343
Foil	Direct elimination	1650	445 - 2854	1650	1650
Saber	Pool	1529	1092 - 1965	1272	1569
Saber	Direct elimination	2210	1520 - 2899	1755	2302

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.