Statistics Profile

Katharine Najoan

2011

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1270	585 - 1954	1270	1487
Épée	Direct elimination	1519	366 - 2671	1519	1519
Foil	Pool	2622	1131 - 4112	2622	2622
Foil	Direct elimination	1478	331 - 2624	1478	1478

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.