Statistics Profile

Catherine Wilk

2014

Royal Fencing Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	430	0 - 1099	430	430
Épée	Direct elimination	1484	337 - 2630	1484	1484
Foil	Pool	-64	0 - 300	-64	269
Foil	Direct elimination	599	0 - 1299	599	1354

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.