Statistics Profile

Kai Wahl

2009

Cyranos Place

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	972	662 - 1281	807	1052
Foil	Direct elimination	1203	662 - 1743	1152	1429
Saber	Pool	1246	905 - 1586	1246	3121
Saber	Direct elimination	1601	1027 - 2174	1601	2092

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.