Statistics Profile

Kyleigh Mankel

2002

Bay Regional Fencing Alliance

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1585	842 - 2327	1447	2921
Épée	Direct elimination	1750	502 - 2997	1750	1750
Foil	Pool	861	358 - 1363	861	1404
Foil	Direct elimination	1755	518 - 2991	1755	1755
Saber	Pool	1216	729 - 1702	1216	2550
Saber	Direct elimination	1925	1199 - 2650	1756	2086

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.