Statistics Profile

Karel Kaymak

2004

University of Virginia Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	985	153 - 1816	985	985
Foil	Pool	917	499 - 1334	643	917
Foil	Direct elimination	1468	782 - 2153	1468	2254
Saber	Pool	1313	569 - 2056	1313	1313

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.