Statistics Profile

Dereck Baca Galo

2010

J.L. Mann Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2088	1278 - 2897	2088	2088
Épée	Direct elimination	1974	940 - 3007	1974	1974
Foil	Pool	1275	894 - 1655	735	1275
Foil	Direct elimination	1081	397 - 1764	1081	1623

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.