Statistics Profile

Amelia Hill

2011

Cache Valley Fencing Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1104	710 - 1497	795	1246
Épée	Direct elimination	1187	295 - 2078	1187	1785
Foil	Pool	871	414 - 1327	871	962
Foil	Direct elimination	1266	268 - 2263	1266	1266
Saber	Pool	495	0 - 1058	495	1201
Saber	Direct elimination	1746	789 - 2702	1746	2421

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.