Statistics Profile

Amelia Hill

2011

Cache Valley Fencing Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1104	710 - 1497	795	1246
Épée	Direct elimination	1181	292 - 2069	1181	1785
Foil	Pool	871	414 - 1327	871	962
Foil	Direct elimination	1186	260 - 2111	1186	1266
Saber	Pool	463	0 - 1010	463	1201
Saber	Direct elimination	1746	789 - 2702	1746	2421

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.