Statistics Profile

John Barrett

2005

Davis Fencing Academy of Miami

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1673	1388 - 1957	1127	1722
Épée	Direct elimination	1388	810 - 1965	1016	1710
Foil	Pool	1967	994 - 2939	1967	1967
Foil	Direct elimination	1932	651 - 3212	1932	1932

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.