Statistics Profile

Jacen Fackrell

2010

Wasatch Fencing

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	948	469 - 1426	948	1115
Épée	Direct elimination	1151	268 - 2033	1151	1581
Foil	Pool	1148	731 - 1564	682	1148
Foil	Direct elimination	1417	830 - 2003	1263	1778
Saber	Pool	1000	100 - 1899	1000	1000
Saber	Direct elimination	2007	921 - 3092	2007	2007

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.