Statistics Profile

Cameron Williams

1993

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1917	1152 - 2681	1917	2780
Épée	Direct elimination	2400	1208 - 3591	2400	2400
Foil	Pool	1752	851 - 2652	1752	1752
Foil	Direct elimination	2156	1094 - 3217	2156	2156

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.