Statistics Profile

Kellen Johnson

2004

University Of Wyoming Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1183	399 - 1966	1183	1183
Épée	Direct elimination	1710	489 - 2930	1710	1710
Foil	Pool	443	0 - 1173	443	443
Foil	Direct elimination	1165	167 - 2162	1165	1165

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.