Statistics Profile

Simon Flores

2010

Cortines HS of VAPA

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1088	602 - 1573	1088	1107
Épée	Direct elimination	1906	916 - 2895	1906	2212
Foil	Pool	387	0 - 1087	387	387
Foil	Direct elimination	1654	473 - 2834	1654	1654

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.