Statistics Profile

Bao Nguyen

2004

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1898	1249 - 2546	1898	1898
Épée	Direct elimination	2755	1338 - 4171	2755	2755
Foil	Pool	1609	879 - 2338	1609	1609
Foil	Direct elimination	1954	687 - 3220	1954	1954

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.