Statistics Profile

Jane Leavitt

2004

Washington University. St. Louis

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1678	963 - 2392	1678	1678
Épée	Direct elimination	1929	877 - 2980	1929	1929
Saber	Pool	2055	1406 - 2703	2055	2147
Saber	Direct elimination	1935	889 - 2980	1935	2079

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.