Statistics Profile

Em Brandon

2004

Manhattan Fencing Center

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	694	0 - 1423	694	694
Épée	Direct elimination	1514	359 - 2668	1514	1514
Foil	Pool	176	0 - 788	176	1028
Foil	Direct elimination	1115	0 - 2247	1115	1115
Saber	Pool	-87	0 - 402	-87	972
Saber	Direct elimination	847	69 - 1624	847	1599

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.