Statistics Profile

Elizabeth Kickbusch

2003

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	3140	1919 - 4360	3140	3140
Épée	Direct elimination	3063	1812 - 4313	3063	3063
Foil	Pool	2856	1617 - 4094	2856	2856
Foil	Direct elimination	1960	912 - 3007	1960	1960

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.