Statistics Profile

Joshua Jiang

2011

Queens Fencing Club LLC

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1637	793 - 2480	1637	1637
Épée	Direct elimination	1853	571 - 3134	1853	1853
Foil	Pool	1313	1076 - 1549	1313	1678
Foil	Direct elimination	1367	937 - 1796	1073	2079

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.