Statistics Profile

Carine Li

Verified
2011
New Jersey Fencing Alliance

Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Épée Pool 1031 226 - 1835 770 1614
Épée Direct elimination 2571 1007 - 4134 2571 2571
Foil Pool 367 0 - 1153 367 1432
Foil Direct elimination 1199 70 - 2327 1199 1199

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

Matchup against me

Register to view this matchup

Create a free account with your USFA number to unlock projected win chances and strength changes.

Create account Log in

Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.