Statistics Profile

Mason Collins

2011

Orion Fencing

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	916	363 - 1468	916	916
Foil	Direct elimination	1376	475 - 2276	1376	1376
Saber	Pool	1513	891 - 2134	1487	1513
Saber	Direct elimination	1726	597 - 2854	1726	1846

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.