Statistics Profile

Jayathi Tennakoon (Jess)

2012

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1098	209 - 1986	1098	1251
Épée	Direct elimination	1192	55 - 2328	1192	1192
Foil	Pool	896	284 - 1507	765	931
Foil	Direct elimination	1340	238 - 2441	1340	1466

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.