Statistics Profile

Harrison McGee

2016

Apex Fencing Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	606	157 - 1054	606	1901
Épée	Direct elimination	1594	831 - 2356	1594	2921
Foil	Pool	1314	982 - 1645	1314	2119
Foil	Direct elimination	1576	914 - 2237	1576	2329

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.