Statistics Profile

Drew X Li

1986

Gold Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	713	92 - 1333	713	841
Épée	Direct elimination	1463	402 - 2523	1463	1578
Foil	Pool	1343	631 - 2054	1343	1343
Foil	Direct elimination	1680	493 - 2866	1680	1680

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.